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The problem the mortgage market created
Across developed economies, homeownership is increasingly inherited, not earned. The typical first-time buyer is now in their mid-thirties, up from late twenties a generation ago. Under-35 homeownership has fallen for more than a decade in most major markets. The deposit needed to cross the threshold has more than doubled in real terms.
Underneath the deposit gap is a deeper structural mismatch. The mortgage product was built for a workforce that earns a salary, doesn't move jobs, and presents a clean credit file. That workforce is shrinking. Self-employment is one of the fastest-growing categories of work across OECD economies, and the numbers are higher still among under-40s, the people most affected by the homeownership decline.